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Table 2 Results from interrupted time series analysis predicting trends in public facility deliveries following 2004, 2007, and 2013 user fee policy shifts

From: Assessing the community-level impact of a decade of user fee policy shifts on health facility deliveries in Kenya, 2003-2014

Indicator

Bottom two quintiles

Top two quintiles

Rural women

Urban women

Estimate

(95% CI)

p-value

Estimate

(95% CI)

p-value

Estimate

(95% CI)

p-value

Estimate

(95% CI)

p-value

Pre-policy trend (β 1 )

0.003

(−0.000; 0.007)

0.057

0.005

(0.002; 0.009)

0.003

0.001

(− 0.001; 0.004)

0.340

0.005

(0.001; 0.009)

0.033

2004 policy

 Change in level (β 2 )

−0.059

(− 0.137; 0.019)

0.136

0.001

(− 0.080; 0.082)

0.983

0.010

(− 0.057; 0.077)

0.760

− 0.042

(− 0.143; 0.059)

0.982

 Change in trend (β 3 )

0.003

(− 0.007; 0.013)

0.524

− 0.009

(− 0.020; 0.002)

0.091

− 0.000

(− 0.009; 0.008)

0.979

−0.001

(− 0.014; 0.013)

0.926

 Predicted trend

0.007

(− 0.003; 0.016)

0.166

−0.004

(− 0.014; 0.006)

0.435

0.001

(− 0.007; 0.009)

0.762

0.004

(− 0.008; 0.016)

0.519

2007 policy

 Change in level (β 2 )

−0.017

(− 0.100; 0.065)

0.675

0.090

(0.004; 0.177)

0.041

0.017

(− 0.054; 0.088)

0.637

0.042

(− 0.066; 0.150)

0.438

 Change in trend (β 3 )

−0.000

(− 0.010; 0.010)

0.970

0.008

(− 0.003; 0.019)

0.139

0.003

(− 0.005; 0.012)

0.455

− 0.004

(− 0.017; 0.010)

0.586

 Predicted trend

0.006

(0.003; 0.010)

0.000

0.004

(0.001; 0.008)

0.026

0.004

(0.002; 0.007)

0.002

0.000

(−0.004; 0.005)

0.874

2013 policy

 Change in level (β 2 )

0.016

(− 0.085; 0.117)

0.756

−0.001

(− 0.102; 0.099)

0.977

0.019

(− 0.072; 0.111)

0.670

0.047

(− 0.077; 0.171)

0.451

 Change in trend (β 3 )

−0.010

(− 0.047; 0.027)

0.589

0.017

(− 0.019; 0.053)

0.358

− 0.000

(− 0.034; 0.034)

0.988

0.019

(− 0.025; 0.063)

0.398

 Predicted trend

− 0.004

(− 0.040; 0.033)

0.847

0.021

(− 0.015; 0.056)

0.249

0.004

(− 0.030; 0.038)

0.807

0.019

(− 0.025; 0.063)

0.385

Constant (β 0 )

0.110

(0.062; 0.158)

0.000

0.344

(0.294; 0.395)

0.000

0.210

(0.170; 0.249)

0.000

0.370

(0.306; 0.433)

0.000

Number of observations

64

 

66

 

65

 

65

 
  1. p-values in bold italics are statistically significant at p < 0.01 or p < 0.05