From: Allocating health care resources: a questionnaire experiment on the predictive success of rules
Principle | Verbal reporters: Fraction of respondents describing the principlea (N = 155) | Areas of predictionb | Actual average hit rates:b Total sample (N = 162) | Actual average hit rates:b Only corresponding verbal reporters | Distribution of hits of corresponding verbal reporters (# subjects x hits) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equality of health levels (EH) | 0.1226 | 0.1802 | 0.1801 | 0.3819 | 3x2, 3x3, 4x5, 1x6, 2x7, 2x8, 1x9, 2x10, 1x16 |
Equality of health gains (EG) | 0.2000 | 0.1802 | 0.3913 | 0.6575 | 1x3, 3x4, 4x7, 1x8, 3x9, 5x10, 3x11, 1x12, 3x14, 1x15, 6x16 |
Equality of treatment time (ER) | 0.1290 | 0.1802 | 0.2594 | 0.4875 | 1x2, 2x3, 1x5, 5x6, 3x7, 2x9, 2x10, 2x11, 2x16 |
Sum-maximization/Utilitarianism (U) | 0.0516 | 0.1802 | 0.0719 | 0.1094 | 5x0, 1x3, 1x4, 1x7 |
No Exclusion | 0.6194 | 0.7376 | 0.9481 | 0.9631 | 1x12, 3x13, 13x14, 18x15, 61x16 |
Preference for sicker patient (lower health level) | 0.2839 | 0.5310 | 0.6256 | 0.7200 | 1x4, 2x6, 2x8, 2x9, 6x10, 7x11, 4x12, 11x13, 7x14, 1x15, 1x16 |
Conditional rulesc | 0.3290 | - | - | - | - |
Thresholdsc | 0.2129 | - | - | - | - |