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Table 4 Predicted effects* on January recommendations for MAPAS interviewees 2008 – 2012 (n = 918)

From: A tertiary approach to improving equity in health: quantitative analysis of the Māori and Pacific Admission Scheme (MAPAS) process, 2008–2012

Regression analysis results

January recommendation

CertHSc

Bachelors

NOT FMHS

Predictors

Odds ratio (95% CI)

P value

Odds ratio (95% CI)

P value

Odds ratio (95% CI)

P value

MAPAS Maths test

1.023 (1.016, 1.031)

<0.0001

1.043 (1.028, 1.059)

<0.0001

0.957 (0.949, 0.965)

<0.0001

MAPAS English test

1.010 (1.000, 1.020)

0.0583

1.042 (1.023, 1.061)

<0.0001

0.972 (0.961, 0.984)

<0.0001

MMI for Certificate level

      

 Whānau Support

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.792 (0.582, 1.078)

0.1387

0.392 (0.214, 0.719)

0.0025

1.867 (1.341, 2.598)

0.0002

 Academic preparation

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.460 (0.342, 0.620)

<0.0001

0.200 (0.101, 0.395)

<0.0001

3.931 (2.882, 5.361)

<0.0001

 Career aspirations

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.731 (0.538, 0.994)

0.0457

0.296 (0.165, 0.562)

0.0002

2.236 (1.614, 3.097)

<0.0001

 Student Information

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.860 (0.634, 1.165)

0.3298

0.974 (0.583, 1.630)

0.9211

1.208 (0.872, 1.673)

0.2566

MMI for Bachelor level

      

 Whānau Support

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.838 (0.629, 1.117)

0.2274

0.676 (0.412, 1.109)

0.1208

1.498 (1.088, 2.062)

0.0133

 Academic preparation

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.669 (0.489, 0.915)

0.0118

0.212 (0.129, 0.346)

<0.0001

4.992 (3.343, 7.456)

<0.0001

 Career aspirations

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.860 (0.638, 1.160)

0.3229

0.328 (0.209, 0.513)

<0.0001

2.739 (1.906, 3.937)

<0.0001

 Student Information

      

   Few concerns

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Some/Major concerns

0.840 (0.638, 1.105)

0.2132

0.692 (0.443, 1.081)

0.1060

1.508 (1.104, 2.059)

0.0098

NCEA Rank Score

1.008 (1.006, 1.011)

<0.0001

1.043 (1.034, 1.052)

<0.0001

0.968 (0.963, 0.973)

<0.0001

NCEA Level 3 Subjects

      

   English

0.878 (0.804, 0.960)

0.0041

1.519 (1.234, 1.871)

<0.0001

0.886 (0.752, 1.042)

0.1427

   Biology

1.011 (0.929, 1.100)

0.8028

1.154 (1.006, 1.323)

0.0404

0.849 (0.702, 1.026)

0.0907

   Chemistry

0.919 (0.847, 0.997)

0.0420

1.150 (1.003, 1.318)

0.0450

1.145 (0.943, 1.390)

0.1707

   Physics

1.012 (0.947, 1.081)

0.7280

1.038 (0.940, 1.146)

0.4667

0.887 (0.746, 1.056)

0.1784

   Maths

1.032 (0.988, 1.078)

0.1597

0.980 (0.919, 1.044)

0.5242

0.879 (0.783, 0.987)

0.0296

Any 2 Sciences?

      

   No

1.00

 

1.00

 

1.00

 

   Yes

3.777 (2.730, 5.227)

<0.0001

7.897 (3.855, 16.175)

<0.0001

0.084 (0.057, 0.125)

<0.0001

  1. Logistic Regression adjusted for MAPAS interview year, Gender and Ancestry. An OR of 1 suggests no difference, i.e. the null hypothesis. Bold font indicates statistically significant results (P < 0.05).
  2. Some examples on the interpretation of OR: An increase in MAPAS Maths test result corresponds to increased odds of getting a CertHSc recommendation in January, by a factor of 1.023 for every percentage point increase in Maths result. Having some/major concerns for Whanau Support at CertHSc level in MMI corresponds to decreased odds of getting a CertHSc recommendation in January, by a factor of 0.792 compared to few concerns.
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International Journal for Equity in Health

ISSN: 1475-9276

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