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Table 3 Cohort and socioeconomic disparities of chronic diseases DALYs

From: Trajectories of middle-aged and elderly people’s chronic diseases Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs): cohort, socio-economic status and gender disparities

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Variables

β(95%CI)

P

β(95%CI)

P

β(95%CI)

P

Fixed effect

 Intercept

1.55 (1.086, 2.014)

<.0001

2.449 (1.795, 3.102)

<.0001

1.882 (1.192, 2.571)

<.0001

 Age

0.49 (0.469, 0.511)

<.0001

0.575 (0.529, 0.621)

<.0001

0.982 (0.821, 1.142)

<.0001

 Age^2

−0.005(− 0.006, − 0.005)

<.0001

− 0.004(− 0.006, − 0.001)

0.002

−0.013(− 0.02, − 0.006)

<.0001

 Age*Cohort

− 0.143(− 0.152, − 0.134)

<.0001

− 0.138(− 0.147, − 0.129)

<.0001

− 0.315(− 0.381, − 0.248)

<.0001

 Age*Edu Illiterate

− 0.002(− 0.002, − 0.001)

<.0001

0.035 (0.021, 0.049)

<.0001

0.128 (0.078, 0.178)

<.0001

 Age*Edu Elementary school

  

0.028 (0.015, 0.04)

<.0001

0.11 (0.065, 0.154)

<.0001

 Age*Middle school and higher (Reference)

  

0(.,.)

.

0(.,.)

.

 Age*Hukou Urban

  

−0.037(− 0.051, − 0.024)

<.0001

− 0.135(− 0.186, − 0.084)

<.0001

 Age*Lg-income

  

− 0.021(− 0.029, − 0.012)

<.0001

−0.108(− 0.141, − 0.076)

<.0001

 Age*Cohort*Edu Illiterate

    

−0.041(− 0.062, − 0.021)

<.0001

 Age*Cohort*Edu Elementary school

    

−0.034(− 0.052, − 0.016)

<.0001

 Age*Cohort*Middle school and higher (Reference)

    

0(.,.)

.

 Age*Cohort*Hukou Urban

    

0.039 (0.018, 0.059)

<.0001

 Age*Cohort*Lg-income

    

0.039 (0.025, 0.052)

<.0001

 Age^2*Cohort

−0.001(− 0.002, − 0.001)

<.0001

− 0.002(− 0.002, − 0.001)

<.0001

−0.003(− 0.006, − 0.001)

0.006

 Age^2*Edu Illiterate

  

0.001(−0.00006, 0.001)

0.07

−0.001(− 0.003, 0.002)

0.522

 Age^2*Edu Elementary school

  

0.0002(− 0.0004,0.0009)

0.478

− 0.002(− 0.004, 0)

0.052

 Age^2*Edu Middle school and higher (Reference)

  

0(.,.)

.

0(.,.)

.

 Age^2*Hukou Urban

  

0.000236(− 0.00048, 0.001)

0.521

0.004 (0.002, 0.006)

0.001

 Age^2*Lg-income

  

−0.001(− 0.001, − 0.00016)

0.008

0.001 (0, 0.003)

0.117

 Age^2*Cohort*Edu Illiterate

    

−0.001(− 0.001, 0)

0.082

 Age^2*Cohort*Edu Elementary school

    

−0.00008(− 0.001, 0.001)

0.808

 Age^2*Cohort*Middle school and higher (Reference)

    

0(.,.)

.

 Age^2*Cohort*Hukou Urban

    

− 0.0003(− 0.001, 0.000453)

0.436

 Age^2*Cohort*Lg-income

    

0.001 (0.000039, 0.001)

0.034

 Died

−0.108(−0.469, 0.254)

0.56

−0.1(− 0.462, 0.261)

0.586

− 0.083(− 0.444, 0.279)

0.654

 Female

− 0.011(− 0.148, 0.126)

0.874

−0.007(− 0.143, 0.129)

0.92

0.000423(− 0.136, 0.137)

0.995

 Hukou Urban

−0.228(− 0.358, − 0.098)

0.001

− 0.666(− 0.867, − 0.464)

<.0001

−0.541(− 0.753, − 0.328)

<.0001

 Edu Illiterate

− 0.088(− 0.224, 0.049)

0.207

0.299 (0.092, 0.505)

0.005

0.155(− 0.063, 0.372)

0.164

 Edu Elementary school

0.031(−0.083, 0.145)

0.593

0.342 (0.161, 0.522)

0

0.216 (0.023, 0.41)

0.028

 Edu Middle school and higher (Reference)

0(.,.)

.

0(.,.)

.

0(.,.)

.

 Lg-income

−0.014(− 0.097, 0.069)

0.735

− 0.235(− 0.363, − 0.107)

0

−0.117(− 0.251, 0.018)

0.09

 Cohort

−0.232(− 0.305, − 0.16)

<.0001

−0.301(− 0.375, − 0.226)

<.0001

−0.321(− 0.396, − 0.247)

<.0001

 Hospitalization OOP percent

0.00002(− 0.0003, 0.0004)

0.896

0.00002(− 0.0003, 0.00036)

0.89

0.00003(− 0.00032, 0.00036)

0.887

 Doctor visit OOP percent

0.007 (0.002, 0.013)

0.01

0.007 (0.002, 0.013)

0.011

0.007 (0.002, 0.013)

0.01

 Hospitalization OOP Q2

−0.116(−0.503, 0.271)

0.557

−0.118(− 0.505, 0.268)

0.548

−0.14(− 0.526, 0.247)

0.479

 Hospitalization total fee Q2

−0.038(− 0.422, 0.345)

0.845

−0.033(− 0.416, 0.35)

0.867

−0.01(− 0.393, 0.374)

0.961

 Doctor visit OOP Q2

−0.276(− 0.463, − 0.09)

0.004

−0.276(− 0.462, − 0.09)

0.004

−0.271(− 0.457, − 0.085)

0.004

 Doctor visit total fee Q2

0.042(− 0.141, 0.225)

0.649

0.042(− 0.141, 0.225)

0.653

0.032(− 0.151, 0.215)

0.73

 No spouse

0.13 (0.002, 0.259)

0.047

0.128 (0, 0.257)

0.051

0.127(−0.002, 0.255)

0.054

 Drinking

0.002(−0.125, 0.129)

0.973

0.001(−0.126, 0.128)

0.991

0.002(−0.125, 0.129)

0.977

 Smoking

−0.045(− 0.183, 0.092)

0.518

− 0.046(− 0.183, 0.092)

0.517

−0.05(− 0.187, 0.088)

0.481

Random effect

 Intercept variance

10.34 (0.172)

<.0001

10.314 (0.171)

<.0001

10.291 (0.171)

<.0001

 Slope variance

0.035 (0.001)

<.0001

0.035 (0.001)

<.0001

0.035 (0.001)

<.0001

 Co-variance

0.498 (0.01)

<.0001

0.496 (0.01)

<.0001

0.496 (0.01)

<.0001

 Residual

0.209 (0.003)

<.0001

0.209 (0.003)

<.0001

0.207 (0.003)

<.0001

 -2LL

89,396.3

 

89,377.3

 

89,361.5

 

 AIC

89,404.3

 

89,385.3

 

89,369.5

 

 BIC

89,432.5

 

89,413.5

 

89,397.7