Table 2 Doubling time of the diabetic elderly population for hypothetical incidence level scenarios
From: Projected impact of diabetes on the Costa Rican healthcare system
Scenarios | Diabetic elderly population size in 2025 | Prevalence in 2025 (%) | Doubling time (years) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Worst case scenarios: Incidence rate increases | ||||
(1) | 75% increase | 372,870 | 30 | 12,0 |
(2) | 50% increase | 351,697 | 29 | 12,5 |
(3) | 25% increase | 332,472 | 28 | 12,5 |
Counterfactual: Incidence rate remains constant | 314,939 | 27 | 13,0 | |
Best case scenarios: Incidence rate decreases | ||||
(4) | 25% decrease | 298,885 | 26 | 13,0 |
(5) | 50% decrease | 284,128 | 26 | 13,0 |
(6) | 75% decrease | 270,519 | 25 | 13,5 |