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Table 2 Doubling time of the diabetic elderly population for hypothetical incidence level scenarios

From: Projected impact of diabetes on the Costa Rican healthcare system

Scenarios   Diabetic elderly population size in 2025 Prevalence in 2025 (%) Doubling time (years)
Worst case scenarios: Incidence rate increases
(1) 75% increase 372,870 30 12,0
(2) 50% increase 351,697 29 12,5
(3) 25% increase 332,472 28 12,5
Counterfactual: Incidence rate remains constant 314,939 27 13,0
Best case scenarios: Incidence rate decreases
(4) 25% decrease 298,885 26 13,0
(5) 50% decrease 284,128 26 13,0
(6) 75% decrease 270,519 25 13,5